Articles by bturtel
14

Future-as-Label: Scalable Supervision from Real-World Outcomes (arxiv.org)

3

TMLR: Outcome-Based Reinforcement Learning to Predict the Future (openreview.net)

2

Natural Selection Is Already Shaping AI (bturtel.substack.com)

2

Flooding the AI Frontier (bturtel.substack.com)

4

Foresight-32B Beats Frontier LLMs on Live Polymarket Predictions (lightningrod.ai)

5

Why Apple Will (Eventually) Win AI (bturtel.substack.com)

28

Outcome-Based Reinforcement Learning to Predict the Future (arxiv.org)

2

What remains scarce post-AGI? (bturtel.substack.com)

2

Why humans are still much better than AI at forecasting the future (vox.com)

73

LLMs can teach themselves to better predict the future (arxiv.org)

8

Show HN: Sculptor – Python library for LLM structured data extraction (MIT) (github.com/lightning-rod-labs)

6

Show HN: Pensive – AI mental health coaching backed by science (pensiveapp.com)

4

Sunlight is more effective than censorship (cointelegraph.com)